Footy’s finally back! If you haven’t seen our 2017 AFL season betting preview, you can check it out here.
Let’s have a look at all nine of the AFL round 1 matches and we’ll have a go at picking a 4-leg multi at the end to take advantage of CrownBet’s offer where if one leg fails, they’ll match your stake in CrownBet Rewards up to the value of $50.
If you don’t have a CrownBet account already, you can claim your $250 bonus bet (check Ts&Cs) when you deposit only $80. Claim this offer here.
All odds are with Crownbet.
Carlton ($2.86) v Richmond ($1.44)
The traditional Thursday night opening round match should be a good one. Both teams have made some pretty big changes to their lists, but I don’t think anyone is expecting too much of Carlton again this year, while Richmond believe they will be pushing for finals contention.
I think the odds don’t reflect how close this game will be, but will tip Richmond to grind out the win.
Richmond by 10.
Collingwood ($2.80) v Western Bulldogs ($1.46)
Collingwood were looking good in their pre-season matches but then De Goey went and threw a spanner in the works this week. Will the issues at the club hurt their on-field performance? We’ll see.
The Bulldogs are still a young side and there should be no signs of a Premiership hangover in this game. Expect them to be as tough and ruthless as ever.
Western Bulldogs by 22.
Sydney ($1.25) v Port Adelaide ($4.10)
Playing Sydney in Sydney in the first round of the season is a tough task for any team. Port Adelaide have Monfries and Ryder back this year and have picked up a couple of handy recruits, however, the Swans are an A-grade team and will be looking to fight back after last year’s Grand Final loss to the Bulldogs.
Sydney to win comfortably at home.
Sydney by 40.
St Kilda ($1.85) v Melbourne ($2.00)
What a game this should be. Both teams will be looking to make considerable improvements this year and both teams picked up a few handy recruits in the off-season and both teams have some talented banned Bombers in their sides.
This game could go either way but we’ll tip Jordan Lewis and the Melbourne forwards to be too good on the day.
Melbourne by 8.
Gold Coast ($1.36) v Brisbane ($3.20)
New Brisbane captain Dayne Beams has been good in the pre-season matches and Tom Rockliff has the weight of captaincy off his shoulders. Their biggest weakness is up forward and Schache requires more time to develop before he’s capable of carrying the forward line.
The Suns lost a few players in trade period and picked up a stack of young talent in the draft.
We think this game will be tight and Brisbane at $3.20 is definitely overs and are not confident on placing a bet on the Gold Coast at odds of only $1.36, but we will tip them for the win in a game that will be much closer than the odds suggest.
Gold Coast by 8.
Essendon ($2.35) v Hawthorn ($1.61)
No Hodge, no (Sam) Mitchell, no Lewis. These three have caused big problems for Essendon in the past and the new-look Hawthorn midfield may take a few games to gel.
Essendon’s superstars are back but the issue for the Bombers in the pre-season has been their inability to finish off games. Fitness is the only question with the Bombers in this match. We expect them to jump to a lead but expect Hawthorn to be the faster finishing team.
We’ll tip the Bombers to upset the Hawks here and hang on in a close one.
Essendon by 6.
North Melbourne ($3.00) v West Coast ($1.40)
The Roos threw their experienced superstars to the scrap heap last year and 2017 appears to be more of a rebuilding year.
The Eagles have boosted their experience in picking up veterans Drew Petrie and Sam Mitchell – both if which still have some great footy ahead of them.
We’re expecting West Coast to make light work of the younger Roos outfit and Drew Petrie to kick 6.
West Coast by 30.
Adelaide ($2.40) v Greater Western Sydney ($1.60)
This should be a good game, but even playing away in Adelaide in the first round of the season, GWS at $1.60 looks to be great value.
The Giants were our early pick to win the Premiership and they’ll get the ball rolling here with a comfortable victory over the Crows.
GWS by 28.
Fremantle ($2.55) v Geelong ($1.52)
Fremantle were simply awful last year but get some star players back, including Brownlow Medalist and new captain, Nat Fyfe.
Geelong have a talented list with a lot of depth and should have no issue with the journey west in round 1.
We’ll tip Geelong to win quite comfortably and we’re liking the odds of $1.52.
Geelong by 32.
AFL Round 1 Multi Special
You only need 4 legs to take advantage of CrownBet’s multi special, however, we are going with 6-legs this week to kick start our betting funds for the season:
(leave Essendon out if you don’t like to tip an upset)
Richmond @ $1.44
Sydney @ $1.25
Essendon @ $2.35
West Coast $1.40
GWS @ $1.60
Geelong @ $1.52
TOTAL ODDS: $14.40
Potential winnings from a $50 bet = $720.12
And if one leg fails, we get $50 back in CrownBet Rewards!