Round 8 of the 2017 AFL season is looking to be an important week for teams that are just out of the top 8. This is the week we could start to see some real separation between the top and bottom 8 and really start to pile on the pressure for those teams that are currently in a bit of a slump.
Last week was one to forget for the tipsters and punters and no doubt it was a good weekend for the bookmakers! Fact of the round was that every winning team in round 7 was at a lower position on the ladder than their opposition – the first time in AFL history that has happened!
Round 8 looks like an easier week for punters, however, there are a few danger games where we could see upsets if some teams can see a quick turnaround in form.
Below are our early picks prior to team announcements on Thursday night. Some games we’ll prefer to take the early odds and some games we’ll wait and see final lineups before placing a bet. Check back on Thursday night for any updates to our tips.
All odds are with Sportsbet – our No. 1 rated bookmaker. New signups can claim a $501* bonus bet with Sportsbet by clicking HERE.
West Coast ($1.56) v Western Bulldogs ($2.45)
This should be a great game to kick off the round with both of these sides had good wins over tough competition last weekend.
West Coast have the home ground advantage and the Bulldogs will be without Jake Stringer until after their bye.
We are expecting this to be tight battle with a small winning margin either way, but we’ll take the better value option here in the Bulldogs.
The tri bet for either team to win by less than 15.5 @ $2.63 also likes like a good bet for this game.
Western Bulldogs by 8.
Hawthorn ($1.11) v Brisbane ($6.75)
Hawthorn managed to pick up their second win of the season last week against the Demons and they started to show signs of what they used to be. Can they keep building on that effort?
Brisbane were outclassed by the Swans last week and things get no easier for them this week.
We’ll pick the Hawks to make it back-to-back wins at a big margin and should cover the -42.5 line.
Hawthorn by 60.
St Kilda ($1.26) v Carlton ($3.90)
The Saints pulled off a stunning victory over the Giants last week to kick of the round of upsets. If they can play like that consistently, they will win most games.
The Blues were also upset winners last week against the Pies who were starting to find form, however, they are facing a much better opposition here.
We’re tipping the Saints to have a good win here.
St Kilda by 42.
Greater Western Sydney ($1.23) v Collingwood ($4.20)
GWS were outgunned by the explosive Saints last Friday night and will want to put in a better effort this week.
Collingwood were shock losers to the Blues last week and will find it tough going against a much classier opposition this week.
We’ll pick GWS to have a comfortable win.
GWS by 40.
Essendon ($3.20) v Geelong ($1.35)
This is a really intriguing match and could (surprisingly) be one of the best matches of the round. It’s also James Kelly’s 300th career game against his old club!
Hold your bets on this one until teams are announced. The key watch is to see if Essendon name Heath Hocking. If Hocking is named, he’ll play a hard tag on either Dangerfield of Selwood – and he’s great at playing that shut down role.
Jobe Watson was rested last week. Can he come back into the side and have an impact?
If Hocking plays, we think Essendon are a chance in a tight one. If not, we expect Geelong to have a big win.
Geelong by 10 (but check back on Thursday night).
Adelaide ($1.13) v Melbourne ($6.05)
The Crows had their first loss of the season last week to the Roos in what was the biggest upset of the round of upsets. Expect the Crows to come out with more aggression this week.
The Demons had a 3-point loss to the Hawks last week and had plenty of chances to win.
The Crows will be back in the winners books this week and we think the Melbourne defense will have a hard time containing the firepower of the Adelaide forward line.
Adelaide by 50.
Richmond ($1.40) v Fremantle ($2.95)
Richmond lost a tight one to the Bulldogs last week after leading for most of the match.
Fremantle let the Bombers out to a 27 point lead at one stage before overrunning them in the second half to come away with a comfortable 37-point win.
We’re expecting this game to be closer than the odds suggest but will pick Richmond to get up in a match that goes down to the wire.
Richmond by 8.
Gold Coast (3.05) v Port Adelaide ($1.39)
The Gold Coast stunned Geelong last weekend and are back at home this week against another high quality opposition.
Port Adelaide came back in the second half against West Coast last week but still went down by 10 points.
This will be a tough road trip for Port but we think they will get the job done, but they will need to limit the impact of the in-form Gary Abblett.
Port Adelaide by 28.
North Melbourne ($1.78) v Sydney ($2.05)
This is another great match up with both teams looking to make amends for poor starts to the year.
The Roos have played well all season but only managed to win their last two – they could just as easily have 6 wins right now.
We all know Sydney have been struggling and it’s hard to tell if they are improving after last weeks win coming against an under-manned Brisbane.
We’ll pick the side that has put in the more consistent and competitive efforts this year.
North Melbourne by 12.
Once again, all odds are with Sportsbet – our No. 1 rated bookmaker. New signups can claim a $501* bonus bet with Sportsbet by clicking HERE.